Exports anticipated to rise 7% over final 12 months
The EU hen meat commerce surplus is anticipated to extend in 2024 as EU imports will barely lower (minus 0.7%). Exports are anticipated to develop by 7%,
The UK is the EU’s largest provider and buyer of hen meat. Nonetheless, the steadiness of commerce favors the EU. The EU exports nearly 4 occasions extra quantity to the UK than it imports.
As extra-EU imports are set to say no in 2024 and 2025, the UK is ready to achieve an rising share of the EU import market.
EU imports of hen meat are regulated by Regulation (EU) 2020/760 that units tariff fee quotas (TRQ) for particular HS code class. Merchandise imported above the present quotas are topic to the EU advert valorem tariff.
In 2024, Brazil is anticipated to lose its standing as the biggest provider of hen meat to the EU. The EU’s largest buying and selling associate would be the UK. Since Brexit, the UK is taken into account to be an extra-EU buying and selling associate, and subsequently non-EU commerce preparations apply. This contains prohibiting imports of chilled and frozen minced poultry meat in addition to mechanically separated poultry meat. Imports of hen meat from UK declined sharply between 2021 and 2023.
In 2021, UK exporters confronted rising border controls and inspections because the Brexit transition interval began on January 1, 2021. Lots of the preliminary administrative challenges seem to have been resolved and British hen meat is once more flowing commonly into the EU. Furthermore, as UK imports extra Ukrainian hen meat below a zero-duty regime, UK exporters are drawn to supplying recent/chilled hen meat to the EU.
Following an audit led by the EU’s DG Sante in October and November 2023, the EU has acknowledged that Brazil has improved controls on poultry meat despatched to Europe. The audit famous that Brazil has largely addressed the suggestions of earlier audits in 2017 and 2018. Nonetheless, the EU nonetheless suspended hen meat commerce from a number of vegetation belonging to the BRF firm attributable to improper sanitary situations. These have affected Brazil’s means to export hen meat to the EU.
In 2021, Brazil requested WTO consultations with the European Union with respect to measures on importation of sure poultry meat preparations from Brazil, particularly salted poultry meat and turkey meat with pepper. The request involved the EU’s meals security standards for salmonella on recent poultry meat and sure poultry meat preparations. At the moment, Brazil famous that there is no such thing as a technical or scientific justification for the applying of stricter microbiological standards, and subsequently Brazil views this measure as discriminatory and as a violation of the principles of the Settlement on Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures of the WTO.
The EU-MERCOSUR Free Commerce Settlement introduced in the summertime of 2019 may finally facilitate Brazilian exports of poultry meat to the EU, however a closing ratification of this Settlement stays very unsure. A number of EU Member States have been very vocal in expressing their considerations. France, for instance, is towards the settlement, and Germany has additionally indicated its personal considerations.