Weekly world protein digest: Iowa, Michigan report HPAI outbreaks in industrial poultry flocks

20 December 2024

13 minute learn

California declares emergency over H5N1 scenario

California declared a state of emergency over the H5N1 virus because it unfold extra broadly in dairy herds and after it has contaminated dozens of farm staff. The declaration goals to streamline and expedite the state’s response by permitting extra flexibility for staffing, contracting and different guidelines, Gov. Gavin Newsome stated. 4 southern California dairies examined optimistic on Dec. 12, “necessitating a shift from regional containment to statewide monitoring and response,” Newsom stated in his emergency declaration. Earlier instances had been centered within the Central Valley in the course of the state. In California, the highest U.S. milk-producing state, 649 herds have examined optimistic since late August, roughly 60% of its herds.

Weekly USDA US beef, pork export gross sales

Beef: Internet gross sales of seven,200 MT for 2024 had been down 35 % from the earlier week and 5 % from the prior 4-week common. Will increase primarily for South Korea (2,200 MT, together with decreases of 900 MT), Japan (1,200 MT, together with decreases of 1,000 MT), Taiwan (800 MT, together with decreases of 100 MT), Mexico (600 MT), and China (600 MT, together with decreases of 400 MT), had been offset by reductions for Indonesia (100 MT). Internet gross sales of 4,400 MT for 2025 had been primarily for Mexico (1,100 MT), South Korea (1,000 MT), Japan (500 MT), Canada (500 MT), and China (500 MT). Exports of 15,900 MT had been up 6 % from the earlier week and from the prior 4-week common. The locations had been primarily to South Korea (4,400 MT), Japan (3,200 MT), China (2,800 MT), Taiwan (1,500 MT), and Mexico (1,400 MT).

Pork: Internet gross sales of 11,200 MT for 2024 had been down 50 % from the earlier week and 52 % from the prior 4-week common. Will increase primarily for Mexico (2,800 MT, together with decreases of 300 MT), Japan (2,300 MT, together with decreases of 500 MT), Canada (2,100 MT, together with decreases of 1,100 MT), South Korea (1,300 MT), and China (900 MT, together with decreases of 200 MT), had been offset by reductions for Colombia (100 MT) and Hong Kong (100 MT). Internet gross sales of 5,800 MT for 2025 primarily for South Korea (2,100 MT), Colombia (1,400 MT), Mexico (1,300 MT), Japan (500 MT), and Canada (400 MT), had been offset by reductions for China (900 MT). Exports of 31,600 MT had been down 7 % from the earlier week, however unchanged from the prior 4-week common. The locations had been primarily to Mexico (12,800 MT), Japan (3,800 MT), South Korea (3,700 MT), China (3,100 MT), and Colombia (2,000 MT).

USDA imposes restrictions on animal commodities from El Salvador amid New World Screwworm menace

On Dec. 10, USDA’s Animal and Plant Well being Inspection Service (APHIS) enacted strict restrictions on animal commodities from El Salvador after detecting New World screwworm (NWS) in cattle. This measure goals to safeguard U.S. livestock and wildlife from the numerous menace posed by NWS infestation. Restrictions apply to animal commodities from or transiting via El Salvador. Prohibited Objects: Stay ruminants, swine, and their germplasm.

Background. NWS detections in Central America and southern Mexico in late 2024 heightened issues in regards to the pest’s unfold. NWS, a severe menace to livestock and wildlife, causes painful infestations with extreme financial implications. The U.S. livestock business advantages considerably from previous eradication efforts, saving roughly $900 million yearly.

USDA expands efforts to fight Listeria in meals processing

USDA’s Meals Security and Inspection Service (FSIS) unveiled new initiatives to deal with Listeria contamination in meals merchandise. Key actions embody increasing Listeria testing beginning in 2025 for ready-to-eat merchandise, environmental samples, and meals contact surfaces, whereas enhancing sanitation oversight. FSIS will improve coaching for inspectors, replace tips, and strengthen state inspection agreements. A precedence shall be Meals Security Assessments at ready-to-eat meat and poultry services that rely solely on sanitation measures. Weekly inspections will deal with Listeria-related dangers, with additional actions relying on funding availability. These measures goal to bolster public security via a science-driven strategy.

China’s pork imports double in November however nonetheless under year-ago

China imported 180,000 MT of pork in November, double the quantity it introduced in in the course of the earlier month however nonetheless 3.4% lower than final 12 months. By way of the primary 11 months of this 12 months, China imported 2.09 MMT of pork, down 17.4% from the identical interval final 12 months.

Iowa, Michigan report HPAI outbreaks in industrial poultry flocks

Iowa’s Division of Agriculture reported three extra outbreaks of extremely pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in industrial poultry, together with a layer flock in Sioux County, a turkey flock in Price County and a yard combined species flock in Monona County. Iowa has reported eight latest HPAI outbreaks. Michigan reported an HPAI outbreak in a industrial poultry flock in Ottawa County, the state’s first case in poultry since Might.

USDA delays Mexican cattle imports till 2025 amid screwworm management efforts

Regardless of earlier hypothesis, USDA clarified Friday that Mexican cattle imports beneath new protocols will not resume till early 2025. USDA Undersecretary Jenny Lester Moffitt initially prompt inspections “earlier than the vacations,” however Chief Veterinary Officer Dr. Rosemary Sifford later confirmed shipments will begin incrementally after the New 12 months. USDA issued an announcement that no cattle had been more likely to come into the U.S. by way of the brand new protocols till early in 2025. “Shipments will possible resume incrementally after the New 12 months, with full resumption of reside animal actions someday after that,” Dr. Sifford stated in an announcement. “Whereas america continues to work very carefully with Mexico and has agreed to protocols, it should take a while to implement these resulting from a number of steps wanted to renew commerce.”

USDA expands digital identification (EID) tag program for livestock in FY 2025

• USDA’s Animal and Plant Well being Inspection Service (APHIS) is distributing an extra 3 million digital identification (EID) tags to states in fiscal 12 months 2025, following the 8 million tags supplied in 2024. This effort helps a nationwide traceability program aimed toward enhancing the monitoring of livestock and enhancing responses to illness outbreaks.

  Mandated animals:
  
  • Sexually intact cattle and bison (18+ months)
  
  • Dairy cattle of all ages
  
  • Cattle and bison used for rodeos, exhibits, and exhibitions

  Each visually and electronically readable ear tags are required for interstate motion.

  Since 2020, APHIS has supplied free EID tags to encourage adoption. The system helps:
  
  • Illness administration: Fast tracing of sick/uncovered animals to attenuate financial losses.
  
  • Commerce safety: Establishing disease-free zones to take care of home and worldwide market entry.
  
  • Information integration: Enhancing collaboration amongst federal, state, and business stakeholders.

  Of observe: Whereas Congress allotted $15 million for this system in 2024, some states, like North Dakota, reported tag shortages. The extra tags for 2025 goal to alleviate these gaps, although producers could have to supply tags independently if provides are depleted.

Avian flu resurgence in Iowa: wild birds and poultry flocks impacted

The Iowa Division of Pure Assets (DNR) on Friday reported a pointy rise in avian influenza instances amongst wild birds after practically a 12 months with out detections. This resurgence coincides with outbreaks in industrial poultry operations in Sioux, Palo Alto, and Sac counties, the place over 6 million chickens and 76,000 turkeys face depopulation. Whereas no direct hyperlink between wild and home instances has been confirmed, additional genetic evaluation could present readability. Hunters and the general public are urged to keep away from sick birds, report uncommon deaths, and follow warning to stop illness unfold.

Of observe: The Iowa Division of Agriculture and USDA introduced a case of extremely pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in a industrial layer flock in O’Brien County. That is Iowa’s eighth detection of HPAI inside poultry in 2024 and the fifth up to now week.

USDA Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook: December 2024

Abstract Beef/Cattle: Forecasts this month mirror the latest discovery of New World Screwworm in cattle in Mexico and the following U.S. import ban on cattle from or transiting Mexico. The ban is assumed to stay in place till the coverage adjustments, which is anticipated to restrict accessible slaughter cattle beginning in second-quarter 2025. On account of decrease anticipated slaughter subsequent 12 months, the 2025 beef manufacturing forecast is lowered 615 million kilos from final month to 25.665 billion kilos. The 2025 outlook for feeder and slaughter cattle costs is raised on fewer cattle accessible for placement and consequently fewer slaughter cattle accessible later in 2025. Subsequent 12 months’s slaughter steer costs are forecast to extend over 2 % 12 months over 12 months, whereas feeder steers are forecast to extend 8 %. Beef imports in fourth-quarter 2024 are raised on October commerce information and weekly import inspections. In 2025, the import forecast is raised on much less home provide accessible to satisfy demand. Beef exports are unchanged from final month in fourth-quarter 2024, however the 2025 forecast is lowered from final month on fewer accessible exportable provides.

Dairy: Milk manufacturing forecasts for 2024 and 2025 have been revised upward, pushed by an anticipated enhance within the variety of dairy cows, partially offset by slower progress in milk yield per cow. Home dairy use is projected to extend for the rest of 2024 and all through 2025. Decrease anticipated cheese costs, greater than offsetting increased dry whey costs, have led to a lower within the 2024 Class III milk value forecast to $18.90 per hundredweight (cwt). Unchanged NDM costs and decrease butter costs have saved the 2024 Class IV milk value forecast unchanged at $20.75 per cwt. Consequently, the 2024 all-milk value forecast has been lowered to $22.65 per cwt. Adjusted 2025 value forecasts embody: Cheddar cheese $1.800 (-9.5 cents), NDM $1.300 (+4.0 cents), dry whey $0.595 (+7.5 cents), and butter $2.685 (-7.0 cents). These value changes have led to a lower within the 2025 Class III milk value forecast to $18.80 per cwt and a rise within the 2025 Class IV milk value forecast to $20.40 per cwt. The 2025 all-milk value forecast has been lowered to $22.55 per cwt.

Pork/Hogs: Processor spreads dropped in November as pork product costs declined extra quickly than hog product costs. It’s notable, nevertheless, that each fourth-quarter hog costs and wholesale pork costs are anticipated to stay above year-earlier value ranges resulting from fewer numbers of slaughter-ready hogs than anticipated, supporting wholesale pork costs up to now within the fourth quarter. Fourth-quarter hog costs are raised to $62 per cwt, nearly 16 % above costs a 12 months in the past, whereas pork manufacturing is lowered barely to 7.24 billion kilos, nonetheless about 1 % increased than fourth-quarter 2023 pork manufacturing. October pork exports had been nearly 2 % increased than a 12 months earlier, however weak spot in shipments to Mexico weighed on the full October export quantity. The fourth-quarter export forecast is lowered 35 million kilos to 1.875 billion kilos resulting from expectations of upper U.S. hog and pork costs for the stability of 2024.

Poultry/Eggs: Projected 2025 broiler manufacturing was adjusted up on latest hatch information. Broiler export projections in 2024 and 2025 had been adjusted up on sturdy shipments to Mexico. Annual common broiler value projections are unchanged from final month. Projected desk egg manufacturing is adjusted down in 2024 and 2025 on decrease lay charges and the affect of extremely pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) on the dimensions of the flock. Projected egg costs are adjusted up on latest information and lowered manufacturing expectations. Egg and egg product export projections had been adjusted down on tight provides and excessive costs. Projected 2024 turkey manufacturing was adjusted up on the energy of October manufacturing however projected 2025 manufacturing was adjusted down, reflecting latest placement information and losses resulting from HPAI. Turkey import and export expectations are unchanged from final month, whereas projected turkey costs are adjusted up barely in 2024 and 2025 based mostly on latest value information.

Weekly USDA dairy report

CME GROUP CASH MARKETS (12/13) BUTTER: Grade AA closed at $2.4650. The weekly common for Grade AA is $2.5155 (-0.0130). CHEESE: Barrels closed at $1.7275 and 40# blocks at $1.8000. The weekly common for barrels is $1.7020 (+0.0510) and blocks $1.7595 (+0.0850). NONFAT DRY MILK: Grade A closed at $1.3775. The weekly common for Grade A is $1.3815 (-0.0010). DRY WHEY: Additional grade dry whey closed at $0.7925. The weekly common for dry whey is $0.7510 (+0.0375).

BUTTER HIGHLIGHTS: Butter demand is combined all through the nation. Butter makers point out demand varies from barely right down to stronger by way of year-over-year numbers. Cream volumes are broadly accessible throughout many of the nation. A number of stakeholders convey discovering properties for extra cream is difficult. Retail butter manufacturing paces range from regular to stronger, whereas bulk butter manufacturing paces are extra combined. In some instances, producers point out decrease milk manufacturing and/or stronger retail butter demand has contributed to lighter bulk butter manufacturing. Bulk butter overages vary from minus 3 to six cents above market, throughout all areas.

CHEESE HIGHLIGHTS: Cheese manufacturing schedules vary from regular to stronger all through the U.S. Within the East area, cheesemakers are operating regular to stronger manufacturing schedules. Regardless of sturdy calls for, inventories stay comfy. Demand for cheddar and mozzarella is notably sturdy. Cheese producers within the Central area share milk availability is growing. Spot milk volumes had been reported at $3 under Class III to $2.50 above. Demand is combined. Some barrel makers share they’ve additional masses on the market. Within the West area, cheese manufacturing is regular. Contacts share spot demand is combined. Inventories for some cheese varieties are tighter than others.

FLUID MILK HIGHLIGHTS: Normally, throughout the nation, milk manufacturing is exhibiting a seasonal incline. Nevertheless, in components of the West and Central areas, farmers are reporting flat manufacturing. Protein and milkfat part ranges are a lot increased 12 months over 12 months. Class I demand is holding regular, whereas demand from Class III is stronger within the East and Central areas. Though just a few cheesemakers say milk gives have quieted, some plant downtime within the Central area has opened up spot milk availability. Reported spot costs ranged from $3-under Class III to $2.50 over Class. Demand for milk within the West is combined. Western Class I and III calls for are regular to stronger, whereas Class II and IV calls for are regular. Cream masses are available in all areas. Most contacts count on availability to be excessive into early 2025. Some sellers within the West say it’s turning into more and more tough to search out patrons for cream. Condensed skim availability is combined. Within the East, accessibility is regular, and demand continues to be mild. The identical may be stated for many of the West, however components of the southwest are seeing tighter availability of condensed skim. Demand within the West is combined. Cream multiples for all Courses vary 1.10-1.31 within the East, 1.00-1.28 within the Midwest, and 0.85-1.25 within the West.

DRY PRODUCTS HIGHLIGHTS: Low/medium warmth nonfat dry milk (NDM) costs had been regular to increased within the Central and East areas, whereas regular to barely decrease within the West. Within the southwest, NDM provides are famous as tight. Dry buttermilk costs had been regular to increased all through the nation. Tight provides are assembly regular to heartier demand forward of the winter vacation season. Dry entire milk costs had been increased this week, regardless of quieter demand from confectioneries as vacation orders have usually been fulfilled. Dry whey costs continued their bullish pattern. Demand is regular, however dry whey provides are notably tight. Whey protein focus 34% costs had been regular to increased. Lactose costs had been regular to decrease on regular home demand tones. Rennet casein costs had been secure this week, whereas acid casein costs ticked decrease.

ORGANIC DAIRY MARKET NEWS: The Transition to Natural Partnership Program (TOPP) was shaped via cooperative agreements between the USDA and non-profit organizations to offer technical help and help for transitioning and current natural farmers. The Agricultural Advertising Service (AMS) reported October 2024 estimated fluid product gross sales. The U.S. sale of whole natural milk merchandise was 256 million kilos, up 5.9 % from the earlier 12 months, and up 6.8 % year-to-date. The International Agricultural Service (FAS) releases month-to-month export information which incorporates export volumes and values for natural milk. Not too long ago launched information for October 2024 indicated natural milk exports had been 464,716 liters, up 72.9 % from the month prior, and up 85.2 % from 2023.

NATIONAL RETAIL REPORT: Standard dairy adverts elevated by 7 %, whereas natural dairy adverts decreased by 2 % this week. Complete typical cheese adverts elevated for week 50 in comparison with week 49, typical cheese simply remained essentially the most marketed typical dairy commodity. Standard 6–8 ounce packages of sliced, shredded and block cheese have weighted common marketed costs of $2.73, $2.48, and $2.60, respectively. All three kinds had value decreases for this bundle dimension. Each the shredded and block kinds decreased by 16 cents, whereas the sliced fashion decreased by 10 cents.